Swansea City 2-2 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
12%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.07
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
14%
5.79
X/2
14%
5.52
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.78
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 40%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.82/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.63
+121% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
7.7 Crosses 27.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
359 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.01.2026 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
29.11.2025 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
04.01.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
31.08.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
01.01.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
2-2
AWAY West Bromwich
2.59 xG 1.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
564 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City and West Bromwich couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Swansea City had 60% of the ball to West Bromwich's 40%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.59 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Swansea City and 1.33 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Swansea City 2-2 West Bromwich in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 40%, draw 24%, West Bromwich 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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