West Bromwich 3-2 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
20%
4.23
X/2
9%
8.81
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.43
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -13%
1.51/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.59
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.0 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Swansea City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.90 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
31.08.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
01.01.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.05.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-2 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
01.10.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
3-2
AWAY Swansea City
1.73 xG 0.13
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
482 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich edged past Swansea City 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, West Bromwich had 65% of the ball to Swansea City's 35%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 1.73 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Bromwich's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Bromwich and 1.67 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Swansea City?

West Bromwich 3-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 51%, draw 25%, Swansea City 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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