West Bromwich 1-0 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.21
X/2
8%
8.33
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.47
2/X
11%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.59/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.44
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.2 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Swansea City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.57 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.05.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-2 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
01.10.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
28.02.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-2 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
20.10.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
1-0
AWAY Swansea City
2.40 xG 0.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
306 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich squeezed past Swansea City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, West Bromwich had 49% of the ball to Swansea City's 51%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.40 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Bromwich's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Bromwich and 2.17 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Swansea City?

West Bromwich 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 44%, draw 28%, Swansea City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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