Coventry 0-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
10%
7.92
X/X
10%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.74
-20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.8 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Norwich City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 1.44
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 508
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.10.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.01.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-4 HT 2-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
03.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
17.02.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-2 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.01.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
0-1
AWAY Norwich City
1.15 xG 0.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 482
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City nicked a narrow win over Coventry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coventry had 43% of the ball to Norwich City's 57%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.15 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Coventry.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coventry and 2.33 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Norwich City?

Coventry 0-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Coventry 47%, draw 23%, Norwich City 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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