Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 31% vs market 15.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.42
1/2
6%
21.85
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.95
X/2
18%
4.96
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
19%
2.78
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.81
+40% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.3 Crosses 23.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stoke City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 2.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
02.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.12.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.09.2007 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
03.03.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
26.08.2006 Stoke City Stoke City 1-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-1
AWAY Stoke City
0.77 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
330 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 56% of the ball to Stoke City's 44%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.77 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.83 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Stoke City?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 31%, draw 25%, Stoke City 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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