Oxford United 3-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.84
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.4
X/2
10%
5.42
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
11%
3.86
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 39%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
0.91/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.93
+59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 71%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.0 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
3-1
AWAY Preston North End
1.95 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
334 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United got the better of Preston North End 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oxford United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oxford United had 48% of the ball to Preston North End's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.95 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Preston North End?

Oxford United 3-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 45%, draw 27%, Preston North End 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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