Millwall 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.75
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.68
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.27/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.37
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 70%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.2 Crosses 17.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
11.11.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-4 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
06.02.2021 Millwall Millwall 4-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
07.11.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.02.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
17.08.2019 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
3-0
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
3.05 xG 0.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
203 Passes 381
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall ran out comfortable winners over Sheffield Wednesday 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millwall as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Millwall had 39% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 61%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 3.05 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millwall and 0.50 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Millwall 3-0 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 41%, draw 26%, Sheffield Wednesday 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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