Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

Burnley
1-1 HT 1-1
Blackburn Rovers
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
12%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.68
X/2
5%
6.9
X/X
6%
4.47
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.05
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.46/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
+28% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
25.8 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.69 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
13.11.2022 Burnley Burnley 3-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
23.08.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNLK
05.03.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.10.2015 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
09.03.2014 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL

Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.85 xG 0.31
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
473 Passes 135
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Blackburn Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Burnley had 73% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 27%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burnley and 0.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers?

Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burnley 48%, draw 25%, Blackburn Rovers 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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