Cardiff City 0-2 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.19
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
12%
7.01
X/2
14%
4.45
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.76
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.85/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.17
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.9 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
294 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-4 HT 0-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
03.10.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
11.02.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-3 HT 1-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
13.09.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-3 HT 0-3 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
27.04.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
23.10.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
0-2
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.50 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough saw off Cardiff City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cardiff City had 52% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.50 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff City and 2.50 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough?

Cardiff City 0-2 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 27%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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