Millwall vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNLK
2-3
HT 2-1
Southampton
İNCL
2-3
HT 1-1
Millwall
FAK
Millwall 3-2 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall nicked a narrow win over Southampton 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Southampton at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Millwall had 41% of the ball to Southampton's 59%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.83 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millwall and 1.67 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Southampton?
Millwall 3-2 Southampton in the England - Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Millwall 30%, draw 26%, Southampton 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton) went the other way.