Norwich City 3-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.63
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.67
X/2
18%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.94
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.52/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.19
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.0 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
390 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.12.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.12.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.02.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.11.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
16.08.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNLK
19.04.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
3-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.31 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
346 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City beat Queens Park Rangers 3-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Norwich City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norwich City had 56% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norwich City and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Norwich City 3-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 38%, draw 25%, Queens Park Rangers 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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