Stoke City 1-2 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.27
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
21%
4.35
X/2
10%
9.38
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
2/2
8%
7.39
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.35/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.0 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
280 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
20.09.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 1-3 HT 1-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.03.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
24.09.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
11.02.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.09.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-3 HT 0-2 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-2
AWAY Hull City
0.80 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
262 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City edged past Stoke City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stoke City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City had 56% of the ball to Hull City's 44%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stoke City and 1.17 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Hull City?

Stoke City 1-2 Hull City in the England - Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 51%, draw 26%, Hull City 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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