Hull City vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hull City v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Hull City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Hull City
İNCL
0-3
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-1
Stoke City
İNCL
Hull City 1-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City squeezed past Hull City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hull City had 58% of the ball to Stoke City's 42%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.73 to 1.19 — on chances, Hull City could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hull City and 1.50 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Hull City vs Stoke City?
Hull City 1-2 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hull City vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hull City 45%, draw 25%, Stoke City 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.