Swansea City 1-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.28
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.3 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
01.01.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.05.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-2 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
01.10.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
28.02.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-2 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-1
AWAY West Bromwich
0.91 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
475 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City and West Bromwich shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Swansea City had 59% of the ball to West Bromwich's 41%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Swansea City and 1.33 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Swansea City 1-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 38%, draw 28%, West Bromwich 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
4 Jan 2025
15:30 Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley Analysis →
15:30 Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Hull City vs Leeds United Analysis →
18:00 Norwich City vs Coventry Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Oxford United Analysis →
18:00 Bristol City vs Derby County Analysis →