Hull City vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hull City v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leeds United
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Hull City
İNLK
0-4
HT 0-1
Leeds United
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Hull City
İNCL
Hull City 3-3 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics
Hull City and Leeds United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hull City had 40% of the ball to Leeds United's 60%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.28 to 1.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hull City and 2.00 for Leeds United.
What was the final score of Hull City vs Leeds United?
Hull City 3-3 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hull City vs Leeds United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hull City 23%, draw 22%, Leeds United 54%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.