Stoke City 0-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

Stoke City
0-0 HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
8%
7.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 24% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
14%
4.04
X/2
8%
10.15
X/X
11%
6.33
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
9%
7.21
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stoke City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.36/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.70
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
25.2 Crosses 10.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
255 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
20.04.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
02.12.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
29.12.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
22.09.2007 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
03.03.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Stoke City 0-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
0-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.01 xG 0.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stoke City at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City had 65% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 35%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.01 to 0.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stoke City and 1.17 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Stoke City 0-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 57%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ BTTS No
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