Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.7
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.35
X/1
15%
6.23
X/2
15%
4.55
X/X
9%
3.53
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.42
2/X
9%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +32%
1.04/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.84
-25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +91%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.3 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Burnley
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.36 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 Passes 315
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
25.04.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
13.11.2022 Burnley Burnley 3-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
23.08.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNLK
05.03.2016 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
24.10.2015 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0-1
AWAY Burnley
1.02 xG 0.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
307 Passes 337
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley edged past Blackburn Rovers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Burnley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 49% of the ball to Burnley's 51%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.02 to 0.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Blackburn Rovers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.50 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley?

Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Burnley in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 35%, draw 27%, Burnley 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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