Preston North End 1-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.15
X/2
13%
7.99
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
6%
6.59
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.39/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/0.66
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.6 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oxford United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.05 xG 1.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
367 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 3-1 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-1
AWAY Oxford United
2.20 xG 0.59
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
537 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Oxford United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preston North End had 70% of the ball to Oxford United's 30%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Oxford United?

Preston North End 1-1 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 49%, draw 26%, Oxford United 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Preston North End), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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