Norwich City 2-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
9%
7.22
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.33
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.19
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Coventry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
487 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
03.02.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.10.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.01.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-4 HT 2-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
03.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
17.02.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-2 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-1
AWAY Coventry
2.02 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
465 Passes 170
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
34 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City nicked a narrow win over Coventry 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Norwich City had 68% of the ball to Coventry's 32%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.02 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Norwich City and 0.67 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Coventry?

Norwich City 2-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 48%, draw 26%, Coventry 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5
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