Leeds United 3-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

Leeds United
3-1 HT 1-1
Hull City
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leeds United vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 26% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.5
X/1
12%
3.64
X/2
8%
14.45
X/X
8%
7.01
2/1
10%
20.95
2/2
11%
10.85
2/X
8%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
2.12/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.52
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
436 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.8 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Leeds United vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 0.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
418 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
16.09.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNLK
29.02.2020 Hull City Hull City 0-4 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
10.12.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.12.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 0-2 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
02.10.2018 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 3-1 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-1
AWAY Hull City
2.97 xG 0.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
362 Passes 498
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United beat Hull City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leeds United had 44% of the ball to Hull City's 56%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.97 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 0.50 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Hull City?

Leeds United 3-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 51%, draw 25%, Hull City 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Apr 2024
14:30 Leicester City vs Norwich City Analysis →
17:00 West Bromwich vs Watford Analysis →
17:00 Birmingham vs Preston North End Analysis →
17:00 Coventry vs Cardiff City Analysis →
17:00 Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →