Sheffield United 3-4 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.8
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
13.0
X/X
10%
6.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.25
2/2
9%
10.5
2/X
5%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 19%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.59/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.35
+18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +60%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
21.07.2018 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United HAZ
13.08.2014 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
3-4
AWAY Mansfield Town
79% Ball Possession 21%
23 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
669 Passes 125
89% Pass Accuracy 63%
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town edged past Sheffield United 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sheffield United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 79% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 21%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sheffield United and 0.50 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Mansfield Town?

Sheffield United 3-4 Mansfield Town in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 58%, draw 20%, Mansfield Town 22%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sheffield United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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