West Ham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2026

West Ham United
2-1 HT 1-0
Queens Park Rangers
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.09
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
19%
4.15
X/2
9%
10.2
X/X
8%
5.64
2/1
12%
22.25
2/2
8%
8.18
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.61/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.92
-27% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
465 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.4 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
234 Passes 260
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
The Meetings
25.04.2015 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
05.10.2014 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
19.01.2013 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNP
01.10.2012 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 HT 0-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
06.11.2004 West Ham United West Ham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
16.10.2004 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL

West Ham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
2.03 xG 0.44
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
691 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 24
33 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United nicked a narrow win over Queens Park Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, West Ham United had 67% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 33%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Ham United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Ham United and 0.67 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

West Ham United 2-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 57%, draw 22%, Queens Park Rangers 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Ham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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