Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR2
5-1
HT 2-0
Nacional
POR
Nacional 3-3 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional and Santa Clara shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional had 46% of the ball to Santa Clara's 54%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.88 to 2.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional and 1.33 for Santa Clara.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Santa Clara?
Nacional 3-3 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Santa Clara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nacional 36%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.