Scunthorpe United 1-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +33%
1.73/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.95
+7% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
10.02.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.08.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
1-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United and Curzon Ashton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 53% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Scunthorpe United and 0.67 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton?

Scunthorpe United 1-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 43%, draw 31%, Curzon Ashton 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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