Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Municipal Liberia saw off Alajuelense 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.17 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Municipal Liberia 3-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 29%, draw 36%, Alajuelense 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.