Municipal Liberia 3-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.5pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2026 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTK
16.01.2026 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
14.12.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
03.11.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
14.09.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
08.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia saw off Alajuelense 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Municipal Liberia 3-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 29%, draw 36%, Alajuelense 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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