Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Municipal Liberia 1-4 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense swept aside Municipal Liberia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Alajuelense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Municipal Liberia had 69% of the ball to Alajuelense's 31%, shots finished 26-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.50 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Municipal Liberia 1-4 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 37%, draw 22%, Alajuelense 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.