Alajuelense 3-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.49/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.22
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
14.09.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
08.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
15.01.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-3 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.10.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.07.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
3-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense swept aside Municipal Liberia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 53% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 47%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Alajuelense 3-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 53%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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