Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense 2-2 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense and Municipal Liberia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Alajuelense had 53% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 47%, shots finished 16-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
Alajuelense 2-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 61%, draw 26%, Municipal Liberia 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.