MTK Budapest 1-2 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.33
Over 2.5
42%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-14.6pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
39%
+18.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
61%
-18.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
4.49/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
+137% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
15.02.2025 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 5-0 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 2-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
30.03.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.08.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-2
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE edged past MTK Budapest 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 54% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 46%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.67 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

MTK Budapest 1-2 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 44%, draw 32%, Kecskemeti TE 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK Budapest), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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