Paksi SE 2-6 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

Paksi SE
2-6 HT 2-4
Diosgyor
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - Cup – 2025/2026

Paksi SE vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.68
+27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Paksi SE vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 314
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
08.03.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
03.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-3 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
28.07.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-2 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC

Paksi SE 2-6 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-6
AWAY Diosgyor
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor swept aside Paksi SE 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 51% of the ball to Diosgyor's 49%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paksi SE and 1.83 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?

Paksi SE 2-6 Diosgyor in the Hungary - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 45%, draw 24%, Diosgyor 31%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ BTTS Yes
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