Diosgyor 2-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 56%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.34/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.51
+29% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.4 Crosses 26.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.30 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 251
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
03.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-3 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
28.07.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-2 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
12.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-1
AWAY Paksi SE
0.97 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor nicked a narrow win over Paksi SE 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Diosgyor had 53% of the ball to Paksi SE's 47%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Diosgyor and 2.17 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Diosgyor 2-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 26%, draw 23%, Paksi SE 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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