Puskas FC 1-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.78/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.9 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 6-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
22.10.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-5 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.70 xG 3.87
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
143 Passes 544
62% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 51
12 Crosses 55
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC and MTK Budapest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puskas FC had 26% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 74%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 0.70 to 3.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Puskas FC and 0.50 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas FC 1-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 52%, draw 22%, MTK Budapest 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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