Alfreton Town 0-2 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.05/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.88
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
24.02.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
02.09.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
23.07.2019 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
0-2
AWAY Scunthorpe United
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United saw off Alfreton Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 53% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 47%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.75 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Alfreton Town 0-2 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 18%, draw 31%, Scunthorpe United 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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