Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Mar 2025

Burnley
1-1 HT 1-1
West Bromwich
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs West Bromwich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
15%
4.04
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
8%
7.98
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v West Bromwich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.48/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.31
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.7 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Burnley vs West Bromwich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
2W-4D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.11.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
20.01.2023 Burnley Burnley 2-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
02.09.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
20.02.2021 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
19.10.2020 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
31.03.2018 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNP

Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.50 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
420 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burnley vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and West Bromwich shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Burnley had 60% of the ball to West Bromwich's 40%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burnley and 0.50 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Burnley vs West Bromwich?

Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burnley 48%, draw 29%, West Bromwich 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burnley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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