Sunderland 1-1 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
22%
3.88
X/2
13%
10.3
X/X
9%
4.73
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
8%
9.11
2/X
9%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.24
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.6 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Preston North End
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
13.08.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
01.01.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 2-0 HT 2-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
12.08.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
08.05.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-3 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
01.10.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-1
AWAY Preston North End
2.08 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
388 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Preston North End couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sunderland had 52% of the ball to Preston North End's 48%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.08 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunderland and 0.67 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Preston North End?

Sunderland 1-1 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 48%, draw 26%, Preston North End 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunderland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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