Norwich City 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.19
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
9%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +18%
1.53/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
+34% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.5 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
462 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 HT 2-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.04.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.12.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
14.03.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.12.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
19.04.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 2-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-3
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.75 xG 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
359 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday nicked a narrow win over Norwich City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Norwich City had 53% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.75 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Norwich City and 1.50 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Norwich City 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 46%, draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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