Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.74
Over
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo The Market 46%
+26% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.80/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.09
+53% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 2-1 Saburtalo GUR
13.08.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCK
09.08.2025 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
28.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
05.03.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.10.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-0
AWAY Saburtalo
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi nicked a narrow win over Saburtalo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 50% of the ball to Saburtalo's 50%, shots finished 9-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.50 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 28%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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