Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 43%
+30% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.86/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.23
+80% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.10.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
18.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
27.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.03.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
0-1
AWAY Saburtalo
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Saburtalo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 58% of the ball to Saburtalo's 42%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 2.00 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 34%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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