Dila Gori 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.96
-39% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gagra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
06.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-5 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
21.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
24.11.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
2-0
AWAY Gagra
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori saw off Gagra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dila Gori had 56% of the ball to Gagra's 44%, shots finished 26-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dila Gori and 0.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Dila Gori 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 48%, draw 27%, Gagra 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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