Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 43%
+23% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.59/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
+36% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCK
09.08.2025 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
28.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
05.03.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.10.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 3-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
18.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
3-1
AWAY Saburtalo
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi saw off Saburtalo 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 40% of the ball to Saburtalo's 60%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.50 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 34%, draw 23%, Saburtalo 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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