Dila Gori 5-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.27
No
45%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-0.5pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.7pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.7pp
45%
BTTS No
60%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.01/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.91
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gagra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
28.04.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
06.03.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
06.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-5 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
03.08.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
21.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
5-0
AWAY Gagra
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori swept aside Gagra 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Dila Gori had 59% of the ball to Gagra's 41%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dila Gori and 0.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Dila Gori 5-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 69%, draw 17%, Gagra 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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