Jablonec 4-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
17%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.70/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.41
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.4 Crosses 22.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.04.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
09.04.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
23.11.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.07.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
07.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
4-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
3.08 xG 0.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
196 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec swept aside Banik Ostrava 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Jablonec had 44% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 56%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 3.08 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jablonec and 1.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Jablonec 4-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 48%, draw 25%, Banik Ostrava 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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