Banik Ostrava 1-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.03/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.05
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
24.2 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jablonec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
23.11.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.07.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
07.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-2
AWAY Jablonec
1.73 xG 1.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
373 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec squeezed past Banik Ostrava 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Banik Ostrava at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 58% of the ball to Jablonec's 42%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.73 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.17 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec?

Banik Ostrava 1-2 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 50%, draw 25%, Jablonec 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Under 2.5
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