Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
2.21/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.81
+69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.9 Crosses 17.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 335
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
30.03.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-4 HT 1-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
27.10.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
26.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.05.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
10.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2-0
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.35 xG 0.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 2
352 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 7
7 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen beat Sparta Prag 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Plzen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 53% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 40%, draw 24%, Sparta Prag 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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