Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
2-2
HT 1-2
Burton Albion
İN1
Burton Albion 1-0 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
Burton Albion nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burton Albion as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 56% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 44%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.25 to 0.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burton Albion and 0.83 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion 1-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 52%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burton Albion), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.