Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

Plymouth Argyle
2-2 HT 0-0
Exeter City
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.69
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
7%
13.6
X/X
7%
7.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.45
2/2
5%
10.3
2/X
5%
18.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.72/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.73
+12% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.9 Crosses 16.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Exeter City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.57 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 218
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2025 Exeter City Exeter City 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
15.04.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
31.10.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 4-2 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
26.10.2019 Exeter City Exeter City 4-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
03.10.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İNTK
11.02.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2

Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2-2
AWAY Exeter City
2.93 xG 1.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
185 Passes 126
61% Pass Accuracy 51%
35 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Plymouth Argyle carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 56% of the ball to Exeter City's 44%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.93 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.67 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 66%, draw 18%, Exeter City 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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