Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff City
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
2-3
HT 1-1
Cardiff City
İNCL
0-3
HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
İNCL
Cardiff City 2-0 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City beat Bolton Wanderers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Cardiff City had 50% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 50%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.81 to 0.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cardiff City and 1.50 for Bolton Wanderers.
What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Cardiff City 2-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 50%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.