Wigan Athletic 2-1 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 36% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.29
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.15
X/2
9%
6.23
X/X
15%
4.4
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
4.43
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.16/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
-31% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 67%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.6 Crosses 17.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
04.03.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
14.01.2025 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic FAK
22.10.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
28.01.2003 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
13.08.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-2 HT 2-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
2-1
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.79 xG 1.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
228 Passes 309
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Mansfield Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 44% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.79 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.00 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Wigan Athletic 2-1 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 42%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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