Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.5
X/1
24%
3.85
X/2
6%
12.65
X/X
7%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.5
2/2
9%
11.0
2/X
6%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.78/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.85
+23% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.9 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
194 Passes 328
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
15.02.2025 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-2 HT 2-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
05.10.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
29.03.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
21.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
03.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
2-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.60 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
189 Passes 312
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lincoln City had 42% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 58%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.60 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lincoln City and 1.00 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient?

Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 60%, draw 20%, Leyton Orient 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
11 Apr 2026
14:30 Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
14:30 Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City Analysis →
17:00 Blackpool vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
17:00 Huddersfield Town vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town Analysis →