Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arsenal v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal 1-2 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Arsenal 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Arsenal at 67% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Arsenal's favour, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.32 to 1.34 — on chances, Arsenal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Arsenal against 1.17 for Bournemouth.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Result & Final Score
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 67%, draw 19%, Bournemouth 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal) went the other way.